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My thoughts on Iowa

At first I was discouraged that Mitt was beaten by such a large margin. Since the polls had it a tight race, I thought Romney’s stronger organization would prevail. As Mitt Romney said on Fox News, he was able to close a 22% lead by Huckabee in just a few weeks. He also pointed out that he significantly beat Giuliani, McCain, and Thompson and did not expect Huckabee to be very strong going forward outside of Iowa. And don’t forget Rush Limbaugh hates Huckabee. I am still optimistic.

Fred Thompson came in a surprising 3rd place which should thrill my friend Julie at Degree of Madness.

According to entrance polls, most people chose Huckabee because they shared the same values. That is code for they like his religious beliefs. Iowans felt that Romney was more electable but this is apparently not an important consideration for them. New Hampshire, where I lived a few years ago, is nothing like Iowa at all. They will choose a candidate based on issues, experience, and leadership. There will be no whining about negative ads. I don’t think the evangelical population is large enough across the country for Huckabee to continue being successful since that’s really all he’s got going for him.

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7 Comments so far (Add 1 more)

  1. Yes, I am thrilled. I wish Fred had done better, of course, but he’s still in.

    Have you see the dust Vodakpundit is kicking up? Here’s the discussion at Hot Air: http://tinyurl.com/yvvqqg

    And here’s Vodkapundit’s post: http://tinyurl.com/2lwr98

    I do think you’re right. Huckabee might be a one-hit wonder. If we’re lucky.

    Julie

    1. mad_cow on January 4th, 2008 at 6:53 pm
  2. Huckabee is trying to spin that only half of the evangelicals voted for him. But as Allahpundit says, “Yes, the point isn’t to suggest that all evangelicals are voting for Huck. It’s to suggest that those voting for Huck are almost all evangelicals.”

    I feel Vodkapundit’s frustration. I feel like Iowa Republicans may cost us the general election.

    2. Scott Allan on January 4th, 2008 at 9:19 pm
  3. When Giuliani was the guy to beat I remember worrying that Republicans were ignoring evangelicals and that would cost us in November. Many evangelicals simply would not vote for a social liberal. It seems the shoe is now on the other foot. Evangelicals are trying to force the party to accept a liberal who satisfies their religious test but brings nothing else to the table. Trouble is Huckabee would be much worse than Giuliani, in my opinion, and I’m no huge Giuliani fan. Not to mention Huckabee would get beat by any Democrat running.

    I believe we have candidates who should be acceptable to both social and fiscal conservatives. Of course I believe Thompson fits that description, but I also believe Mitt does as well. I used to be “Anybody but McCain”, just goes to show how much (little) I know! Huckabee would be a disaster.

    3. mad_cow on January 5th, 2008 at 6:08 am
  4. I fell briefly into the Huckabee trance a few months ago until I learned about his record so I get why he appeals to people. I wish more candidates embraced the fair tax.

    Giuliani is probably ok with me mostly because I know he’ll do everything he can to keep us safe which is my number one priority. He really understands the threat. Hopefully for him that includes closing the borders. I can’t remember where he stands on that.

    I like McCain. You know I’m a little more forgiving about letting illegals stay in the country as long as they have to jump through a few hoops to get it and we figure out a way to stop it from happening. I don’t worry so much about the people who came here the last 20 years, I worry about who is coming in now. I want both borders closed. I think McCain is ok with that. I am a little upset he still doesn’t support the tax cuts. He claims that’s because he’s a fiscal conservative and we couldn’t afford them, but a real fiscal conservative would cut spending and taxes. The Bush tax cuts probably saved the economy. It’s too bad McCain doesn’t like Romney very much because McCain is pretty old and would need a strong, youthful running mate.

    Huckabee might be better than Obama and Clinton. He’s definitely better than Edwards. I just get a Jimmy Carter vibe from Huck and he sort of resembles Nixon. If it’s Huckabee vs. Obama or Clinton, I might not vote.

    4. Scott Allan on January 5th, 2008 at 10:38 am
  5. I just read your post on McCain and I forgot he wanted to close Gitmo and eliminate waterboarding. I’m pretty sure we shouldn’t tell our enemies what we will and will not do to obtain information. I want them to fear us, not laugh at us. Perhaps McCain would find me un-American, but if torturing Osama bin Laden would save even one life, I’d be first in line to torture him. I don’t really see 30-60 seconds of making someone think they’re drowning causes any permanent harm. It certainly doesn’t cause any physical harm.

    5. Scott Allan on January 5th, 2008 at 10:46 am
  6. Huckabee’s not too fond of Gitmo either. For the same reasons as McCain. I just don’t get it. Here’s Huckabee:

    http://tinyurl.com/2a84kn

    I can’t believe with the terror threats we face any serious candidate for President would be more worried about our “image” than our safety. I hope Republicans get a clue.

    And you make a great point about letting our enemies know what we will and will not do. Especially since they’re willing to do anything, including blowing themselves up, to kill Americans.

    6. mad_cow on January 5th, 2008 at 11:40 am
  7. BTW, as someone who has filled out more tax forms than I can bear to think about, I truly want to support a candidate who is in favor of the Fair Tax. Huckabee does support it, but I’m with you. His record speaks for itself.

    7. mad_cow on January 5th, 2008 at 11:55 am

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